Alumis Valuation

ALMS Stock   26.54  0.26  0.97%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Alumis Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of USD30.04 per share. The current price of the firm is USD26.54. Our model approximates the value of Alumis Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (53.72) %, return on equity of -0.67, and Shares Outstanding of 117.51 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alumis' valuation include:
Price Book
8.6849
Enterprise Value
B
Price Sales
151.0653
Enterprise Value Revenue
135.6986
Undervalued
Today
26.54
Please note that Alumis' price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alumis Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alumis' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alumis stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alumis Inc. Since Alumis is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alumis Stock. However, Alumis' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  26.54 Real  30.04 Target  37.25 Hype  25.48
The intrinsic value of Alumis' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alumis' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
30.04
Real Value
43.65
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alumis Inc helps investors to forecast how Alumis stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alumis more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alumis' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.83-0.77-0.71
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8725.4839.09
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.9037.2541.35
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alumis' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alumis' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alumis' closest peers.

Alumis Cash

204.7 Million

Alumis Revenue by Product

Alumis Total Value Analysis

Alumis Inc is presently expected to have valuation of 3 B with market capitalization of 3.34 B, debt of 30.72 M, and cash on hands of . Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Alumis fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company

Alumis Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Alumis is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Alumis Inc shows a negative utilization of assets of -0.61 percent, losing USD0.006146 for each dollar of assets held by the firm. Inadequate asset utilization signifies that the company is being less effective with each dollar of assets it shows. Put another way, asset utilization of Alumis Inc shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Alumis Profitability Analysis

Based on Alumis' profitability indicators, Alumis Inc may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Alumis' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
-264.8 M
Current Value
-278.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
65.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to gain to about (2.7 M) in 2026
For Alumis profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alumis Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alumis utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alumis's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alumis over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alumis Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Alumis is estimated to be -0.77 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.83 to a high of -0.71. Alumis' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -2.15. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alumis Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alumis is projected to generate -0.77 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Alumis earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alumis EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alumis' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alumis, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alumis Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Alumis' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alumis is estimated to be -0.77 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.83 to a high of -0.71. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alumis Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.83
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.77
-0.71
Highest

Alumis Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Alumis' value are higher than the current market price of the Alumis stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alumis is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alumis' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
90.0%
0.0
-0.77
-2.15

Alumis Ownership Allocation

Alumis holds a total of 117.51 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alumis Inc outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alumis Inc to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alumis. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alumis Inc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Alumis Profitability Analysis

Net Loss for the year was (294.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.12 M.

About Alumis Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alumis' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alumis Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alumis. We calculate exposure to Alumis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alumis's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-2.8 M-2.7 M

Alumis Current Valuation Indicators

Alumis' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Alumis' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alumis, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alumis' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alumis' worth.

Additional Tools for Alumis Stock Analysis

When running Alumis' price analysis, check to measure Alumis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alumis is operating at the current time. Most of Alumis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alumis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alumis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alumis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.